Natural Rubber Association
CNC-machiningparts Reporsts Rubber Industry safeguard is injured Affected chain wheels
U.S. safeguard tire introduction tire industry in China is undoubtedly generate more powerful effect on the industry chain of tire other industries, such as synthetic rubber, carbon black, coal tar, styrene what kind of impact?
industries are beginning to worry, tires safeguard the effects associated side is coal tar, anthracene oil, carbon black oil from a number of commodity markets. According to industry estimates, the view Ultimately, the tire industry chain and related industries will not have a huge impact, its impact is limited.
Carbon Black Industry less affected
Analysts believe that special protection is especially the case for smaller, lighter car tires for export trucks, less impact on the carbon black industry.
The car tire production in China in 2008 was 350 million euros, depending on tire consumption of carbon black car 1.64 kg each calculation, the United States imposed punitive tariffs on China tire after the 7.5 tons black carbon look for other sales channels. According to ICC analysis, in 2008 the domestic demand of 230 million tons of carbon black, which is 75 thousand tons input of carbon to the United States, accounting for only 3.26% of domestic demand for carbon black.
Therefore, many black businesses that a safeguard measure has a certain influence on the carbon black industry. It is understood that plants carbon black production are currently on order normal production, while the response of carbon black workers is relatively calm.
August sales of carbon black has been better than sooner, in early September, sales of black carbon is kept several businesses in the balance. To weaken the impact of the tires to safeguard most of carbon black business case, put it back before the SSG, even before the sales channel to be adjusted, at the same time, the average operating the carbon black plant is also under national control in 70% of the top and bottom.
Indirectly affected by the coal tar and styrene
The coal tar processing companies, which mainly affects the market demand and coal tar anthracene movements in oil prices.
domestic coke production has been limited due in full swing, both around reducing content tar in different degrees, the current domestic market as a whole has coal tar in the upstream channel is. However, U.S. safeguard adopted in the market for coal tar tire contrary. Most industry companies in the industry that coal tar market demand and not put an important variable in the short term, the situation of oil by less than the demand will continue.
Downstream products include styrene SBR, while the main downstream products of SBR tires, which will be approximately 40% of domestic production exported in the form tire market digested, in the case of special protection, the tire was cut exports from the road, no doubt, SBR downstream, the demand directly affected.
SBR production of some of the companies were informed that the prices of their products against the trend is also expected to loose to follow the factory began to fall gradually.
The total gross domestic downstream styrene SBR needs 4% 4% may have some decrease demand, although weak storm, but the market still has an indirect impact styrene.
rubber market, "worse"
Natural Rubber, styrene butadiene rubber, polybutadiene rubber, plastic type of the three is an important raw material for the production of tires. Analysts believe that the tires safeguard the announcement of the results, so the price of rubber in the worst domain. Natural rubber futures affected by the safeguard measure, 1 September Hujiao limit down, on plastic or even a single day since 2009, experienced the greatest decline.
Synthetic rubber, the commercial companies had expected with 11 holiday is about mid-lower reaches of the tire plant will return to the market began to buy 10, but published the results of special protection, led to some of the tire factory had to adjust the pace of hiring.
At present, the domestic market because the supply of styrene butadiene rubber off, the price went up more resistance, since August, Sinopec Qilu exports Petrochemical began (600,002, shares the same) of styrene-butadiene rubber, in September, while exports increased, a corresponding reduction The domestic supply price formation, supported by SBR.
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